Update on the Work of the Airports Council International - North America Political Action Committee
- Political Insider Spotlight: 2018 Midterm Election Expectations (go)
- ACI-NA PAC 2017 Supporters (go)
- Join us for the ACI-NA PAC Luncheon in Scottsdale (go)
- Who Your Contributions Have Supported in 2016 (go)
- Contributing to ACI-NA PAC in 2017 (go)
Political Insider Spotlight: 2018 Midterm Election Expectations
With Republicans expected to control both the House and Senate next year, political work by both parties will soon turn to the 2018 midterm elections. These elections will be critical as it will provide an opportunity for the Republican Party to either consolidate 2016 electoral gains, or allow the Democratic Party to make inroads in narrowing the present House majority or reducing or reversing the present Senate majority.
Historically, voter turnout has gone down during mid-term elections. According to PBS’ Morning Line In the 2014 midterm election, voter turnout reached its lowest level in 70 years. In fact, one of the most dependable expectations in midterms has been a voter swing against the party that presently holds the presidency in favor of the minority party.
However the 2018 midterm election is different from previous years in several ways. According to the Washington Post “The upcoming Senate class is unusually unbalanced. Only eight Republican Senate seats are up for election in 2018, compared to 25 Senate Class I Democratic seats (including two independents that caucus with the Democrats). Ten of those Democratic seats are in states carried by Donald Trump.”
Of those 25 senators, 13 are from states Trump captured or narrowly lost. Among those are Maine, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Five Democrats are from states Trump handily carried, by 19 percentage points or more — Indiana, North Dakota, West Virginia, Missouri and Montana.
According to Michael Bailey and Elliot Fullmer of Georgetown University’s Department of Government Public Policy Institute, whether as a reaction to the current president’s agenda or as a counterweight to the party in power, the party not holding the presidency has made gains in the House in the midterm elections in every election but two since 1934. With Senate Democrats defending 25 seats compared to eight held by Republicans, this historical pattern may be greatly impacted.
Midterm elections, when a president is not on the ballot, are usually difficult for the president’s party in Congress. Democrats lost nine Senate seats in 2014 and six others in 2010 under President Obama, and presidents’ parties have gained Senate seats just once in the past eight midterm contests. Although history indicates big electoral swings occur against the party holding the presidency, Democrats would need a net gain of eight seats in order to have a filibuster proof majority in the Senate. A net change of eight seats would be large by historical standards but not unprecedented. The sitting president’s party has gained Senate seats in only four of the past 17 midterms, and each time the gain has been minuscule – one seat in 1970, 1982 and 2002, and two seats in 1962.
One additional concern is the 2018 Governors’ races taking place across the country. While this would seem to have an ancillary impact on federal politics and elections, the next four years will be different in that regard as well. In many states with multiple House districts, the 2018 elected governors will have veto power over their states’ redistricting processes after the 2020 census. This will have a significant effect on Congressional districts nationwide and will impact House of Representative races over the next few election cycles.
While it’s too early to say what the political climate will be two years into a Trump presidency, it is clear that there are important electoral issues that will be decided over the next two elections and this will have a significant impact on the political landscape beginning in 2018 and beyond.
ACI-NA PAC 2017 Supporters
David Bannard* Gloria Bender* Christopher Bidwell* Lew Bleiweis* Thella Bowens* Paul Bradbury* Leland Burch* Kevin Burke* Rochelle Cameron* Matt Cornelius* Greg Cota* Sean Cusson* Lorena De Rodriguez* Ben DeCosta* Tom Devine* Michael DeVoy* Kevin Dillon* Oris Dunham* Dave Edwards* Scott Elmore* Charles Everett* Betty Fletcher* Shauna Forsythe* Kelly Fredericks* Steve Grossman* Jeff Hamiel* Rhonda Hamm Niebruegge* Shane Harbinson* Matthew Harris* Todd Hauptli* Greg Kelly* Mitchell Kilian* Nelson Lam* Michael Landguth* Lynn Lebowitz* Joe Lopano* Dawn Lucini* John Majewski* William Marrison* Bob Mattingly* Debby McElroy* Candace McGraw* Enrique Melendez* Carl Miller* Frank Miller* Marily Mora* John Moyer* Jeff Mulder* Thomas Naughton* Matt Nelson* Chad Nixon* Christopher Oswald* Gregg Paradies* Ronald Peckham* Fredrick Piccolo* Nathan Pick* Bret Pilney* Julian Potter* Katherine Preston* Henry Ramella* Maureen Riley* Annie Russo*Brian Ryks* Casey Sexton* Eric Smith* Ana Sotorrio* Rachel Tristan* Richard Tucker* William Vanecek* Mark VanLoh* Randy Walker* Rob Wigington* Nancy Zimini
Join us for the ACI-NA PAC Luncheon in Scottsdale
ACI-NA PAC will be in sunny Scottsdale, Arizona for the 2017 ACI-NA CEO Forum. Join us for a wonderful dinner event on Wednesday, February 8 at 7:00 pm. The cost to attend is $250. Your contribution will help us support members of Congress who are vital to the success of our industry priorities.
Who Your Contributions Have Supported in 2016
Through the generous contributions of our supporters, ACI-NA PAC has continued to help Senators and House members from both parties who support airport priorities. Providing support to these key members of Congress is another way for ACI-NA to connect directly with them about issues of importance to airports. Additionally, building these personal relationships with members and their senior staffs allows us opportunities to effectively weigh in on legislation impacting our industry, share the economic impact airports have on their local communities, and continue to cultivate congressional support for airports.
ACI-NA PAC has made several targeted political contributions in 2016:
- Congressman Bennie Thompson (D-MS), Ranking Member, House Committee on Homeland Security
- Congressman Michael McCaul, Chairman, House Committee on Homeland Security
- Congressman John Mica, Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure, Subcommittee on Aviation
- Congressman Frank LoBiondo (R-NJ), Chairman, House Transportation and Infrastructure Aviation Subcommittee
- Congressman Rick Larsen (D-WA), Ranking Member, House Transportation and Infrastructure Aviation Subcommittee
- Congressman Peter DeFazio, Ranking Member on the House Transportation & Infrastructure Committee
- Senator Bill Nelson (D-FL), Ranking Member, Senate Committee on Commerce, Science and Transportation
- Senator Charles Schumer (D-NY), Member, Senate Committee on Finance
- Senator Roy Blunt (R-MO), Member, Senate Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation
- Congressman John Katko (R-NY), Chairman, House Committee on Homeland Security, Transportation Security Subcommittee
- Congressman John Carter (R-TX), Chairman, House Committee on Appropriations, Homeland Security Subcommittee
Contributing to ACI-NA PAC in 2017
Prior Authorization Form – Your help would be much appreciated in recruiting contributors to ACI-NA PAC. In order to solicit and accept a contribution from you and other ACI-NA members, we must have a signed prior authorization form for 2017. Please share the prior authorization form and encourage your colleagues to fill it out and return it to email@example.com.
Contribution Form – If you are interested in donating to ACI-NA PAC, please use this contribution form.
Shervan Sebastian, Senior Manager of Government and Political Affairs
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